Election Predictions?

[theknife]

just a little over two weeks until the midterm Congressional elections - anybody want to predict the outcome?

Republicans currently hold the House with 231 seat to the Dem's 203 (with Foley's seat open). GOP controls the Senate 55-44 (with 1 independent).

i think the Dems will take back the House but not by much - maybe 220 to the GOP's 215. they'll come up short in the Senate, winning 48 seats to the GOP's 50 (with a Lieberman victory in CT, ostensibly as an independent, making for 2 independents seats.)

the Dems could do better, but i have a nagging feeling they may have peaked a little early. we'll see... i'm not very good at election predictions for the same reason i'm a lousy gambler - i tend to bet with my heart instead of my head.