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Old 17-07-06, 01:27 PM   #3
Malk-a-mite
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Posts: 7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Repo
and it could turn into a world war like no other
I'm curious as to how you see this moving into a larger war?

What countries would be involved and why? Syria and Iran have bilaterial protection treaties with each other, but after that the model kinda falls apart.

Ok, maybe you assume other mideast countries use this as a oppurtunatey to attack Israel, sure... but who? Iraq isn't in a position anymore, Egypt has been at peace with Israel since 1979:
http://www.knesset.gov.il/process/docs/egypt_eng.htm
But granted - a more radical vein of Islam is based out of Egypt that could push for a confrontation, but at the moment it doesn't appear likely.

Jordan, unlikely:
http://www.kinghussein.gov.jo/peacetreaty.html

Saudi Arabia? Well it is the orginal home of the Wahhabists, everyone favorite brand of extremists... but the Saudi's haven't been big on direct conflict in some time - favoring the money funneling approach. Possible for insitgating problems but unlikely for starting them.

Who esle? Turkey, China, Russia, India? Who else makes this a world war? The U.S. troops aren't going near this unless Iran makes one hell of a big move and that's only because the U.S. troops are sitting literially in the middle of the conflict then.....

So again, how does this become a world war?


EDIT:
On the Syrian front:
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exer...AC9111C90F.htm
"Syria is not Lebanon. It is not a weak state and has allies in the region who can ensure that Israel, and the US, will find themselves in an even bigger dilemma than they do now."

"Iran has the power to ensure that the American project in Iraq fails for good," Zaaby said.

"It can also threaten to cut off energy supplies and send oil prices sky-high. Israel might have the strongest military power, but power is not just about the military"

That sure as heck sounds like a country that doesn't want to get involved in a war.
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